ConocoPhillips plans conservative financial and operating programs in 2017, planning for a longer-than-expected $50/b oil world by reducing its capital budget 4%, growing production up to 2% and forging technologies to squeeze out the last smidgen of resource from existing assets.

International Brent crude oil futures LCOc1 were trading at $45.77 per barrel at 0743 GMT (2:43 a.m. ET), down 7 cents from their last close. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures CLc1 were trading down 10 cents at $44.56 per barrel, weighed down by weakening U.S. demand.

At 3:30 pm Singapore time (0739 GMT), January ICE Brent crude futures were down 64 cents/b (1.39%) from Tuesday's settle at $45.40/b, while the NYMEX December light sweet crude contract fell 59 cents/b (1.31%) to $44.39/b.

EIA expects Brent crude oil prices will average close to $48/ barrel (b) in the fourth quarter of 2016 and in the first quarter of 2017. Forecast Brent prices average $43/b in 2016 and $51/b in 2017. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices are forecast to average about $1/b less than Brent prices in 2017. The values of futures and options contracts indicate significant uncertainty in the price outlook, with NYMEX contract values for February 2017 delivery traded during the five-day period ending November 3 suggesting that a range from $35/b to $66/b encompasses the market expectation of WTI prices in February 2017 at the 95% confidence level.

Средняя цена нефти марки Urals по итогам января-октября 2016 года составила $ 40,72 за баррель.

OPEC raised its outlook for oil use in 2018, 2019 and 2020, when it sees demand reaching 98.3 million barrels a day, or 900,000 more than the group projected in its previous annual outlook.

Oil producers would love to see higher prices, but OPEC so far has been unable to cut output. In September, OPEC agreed to have a committee look at potentially cutting production to 32.5 million to 33 million barrels a day, shaving off 700,000 barrels a day — some 2 percent of overall production.

Brent crude futures LCOc1 were trading at $46.29 per barrel at 0705 GMT, up 71 cents, or 1.56 percent, from their previous close. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures CLc1 were up 730 cents, or 1.66 percent, at $44.80 a barrel.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude CLc1 fell by 70 cents to $45.97 by 0611 ET and Brent crude LCOc1 was down 69 cents at $47.45. Both contracts were at their lowest since Sept. 28.

The UK-listed oil majors both said they were planning for prices per barrel in the low $50s in 2017 — only a little above current levels — in a sign of the industry adapting to “lower-for-longer” market conditions.

Output in the U.S. will fall 800,000 barrels a day this year, Adam Sieminski, administrator for the EIA, said in an interview in Riyadh. That would be the first drop since 2008, data compiled by Bloomberg show. OPEC’s attempts to carry out an agreement on limiting production are still “very much up in the air,” he said.

London Brent crude for December delivery LCOc1 was down 29 cents, or 0.6 percent, at $49.42 a barrel by 0750 GMT after settling down 76 cents on Friday. NYMEX crude for December delivery CLc1 was trading down 29 cents, or 0.6 percent, at $48.41 a barrel, after closing down $1.02 on Friday.

Негативное воздействие низких цен, проявившееся в серьезном сокращении инвестиций в нефтедобычу, будет продолжаться третий год подряд, что станет беспрецедентной ситуацией.

Brent crude LCOc1 was up 22 cents at $50.20 a barrel as of 0845 GMT (4:45 a.m. ET), after falling in the last three days. U.S. crude gained 10 cents to $49.28.

The North American market has continued to "grind slowly upwards" as the rig count, particularly in the US, ticks ahead from troughs seen six months ago, Martin Craighead said during a quarterly conference call with analysts. But "customers need to be more confident of the durability of those prices before making any significant change to their spending patterns," Craighead said.