Global oil supply could struggle to keep pace with demand after 2020, risking a sharp increase in prices, unless new projects are approved soon, according to the latest five-year oil market forecast.

The concentration of imbalances among a few large countries presents a risk to the global economy. It increases vulnerabilities—and even raises the risk of market disruptions.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) CLc1 was down 7 cents at $48.33 a barrel, as of 0716 GMT. The contract ended down 9 cents in the previous session after touching its lowest since the end of November at $47.90. Brent crude futures LCOc1 gained 3 cents to $51.32 a barrel, having settled down 2 cents on Monday after dipping as low as $50.85.

"It became evident that U.S. shale oil output has become and will remain a new global oil price regulator for the foreseeable future," Rosneft said.

Rosneft and Demiroren Group Companies signed an Agreement on petroleum product supplies during 2018-2020.

Brent crude oil was up 15 cents at $52.34 a barrel by 0900 GMT, after falling 1.7 percent on Thursday and 5 percent the day before in its biggest percentage decline in a year. U.S. crude oil was up 15 cents at $49.43 a barrel. It fell below $50 on Thursday for the first since December. U.S. crude is on track for a drop of more than 7 percent this week, its biggest weekly fall for five months.

EIA forecasts Brent crude oil prices to average $55/b in 2017 and $57/b in 2018. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices are expected to average about $1/b less than Brent prices in the forecast. NYMEX contract values for May 2017 delivery traded during the five-day period ending March 2 suggest that a range of $46/b to $63/b encompasses the market expectation for WTI prices in May 2017 at the 95% confidence level.

The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, through the Department of Commerce, announced today that the goods and services deficit was $48.5 billion in January, up $4.2 billion from $44.3 billion in December, revised. January exports were $192.1 billion, $1.1 billion more than December exports. January imports were $240.6 billion, $5.3 billion more than December imports.

Министр поблагодарил своего саудовского коллегу за усилия по достижению успеха соглашения между странами ОПЕК и ведущими не-ОПЕКовскими производителями нефти по координации действий на нефтяном рынке. «Хотел бы еще раз поблагодарить в Вашем лице руководство Саудовской Аравии за решающий вклад в продвижение столь важного для мировой нефтяной индустрии и мировой экономики в целом процесса, способствующего восстановлению баланса спроса и предложения на рынке нефти и поддержанию инвестиционной привлекательности отрасли в долгосрочной перспективе», - заявил Александр Новак.

«Изменения топливно-энергетического баланса неизбежны, однако резких потрясений в ближайшие десятилетия мы не ждем – доля углеводородов может снизиться с 80% до 75%, при этом газ останется основным видом топлива и займет еще большую нишу. Таким образом, изменения мирового топливного баланса будут носить скорее эволюционный, а не революционный характер», - констатировал Александр Новак.

Brent crude futures dropped 47 cents, or 0.8 percent, to $55.43 a barrel as of 0749 GMT after settling 1.5 percent higher in the previous session. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures fell 47 cents, or 0.9 percent, to $52.86 a barrel after closing the previous session up 1.4 percent.

Александр Новак прогнозирует стоимость эталонной корзины Brent в 2017 году на уровне $55-60 за баррель, тогда как Urals будет торговаться с дисконтом в $2-3 за баррель к североморскому эталону.

Oil closed at the lowest level in more than three weeks as record U.S. crude inventories were seen jeopardizing OPEC’s efforts to drain a global surplus.

The LUKOIL Group oil production for the fourth quarter and twelve months of 2016 was 22.7 and 92.0 million tonnes, respectively. Production for the fourth quarter excluding compensation crude oil from West Qurna-2 project in Iraq increased by 2.5% compared to the third quarter of 2016.

Benchmark Brent crude oil was down 50 cents a barrel at $55.86 by 1125 GMT. U.S. light crude was 50 cents lower at $53.33.