Analysis
2018, June, 18, 13:55:00
U.S. ECONOMY UP
IMF - The near-term outlook for the U.S. economy is one of strong growth and job creation. Unemployment is already near levels not seen since the late 1960s and growth is set to accelerate, aided by a near-term fiscal stimulus, a welcome recovery of private investment, and supportive financial conditions. These positive outturns have supported, and been reinforced by, a favorable external environment with a broad-based pick up in global activity. Next year, the U.S. economy is expected to mark the longest expansion in its recorded history. The balance of evidence suggests that the U.S. economy is beyond full employment.
2018, June, 18, 13:50:00
U.S. INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION DOWN 0.1%
U.S. FRB - Industrial production edged down 0.1 percent in May after rising 0.9 percent in April. Manufacturing production fell 0.7 percent in May, largely because truck assemblies were disrupted by a major fire at a parts supplier. Excluding motor vehicles and parts, factory output moved down 0.2 percent. The index for mining rose 1.8 percent, its fourth consecutive month of growth; the output of utilities moved up 1.1 percent. At 107.3 percent of its 2012 average, total industrial production was 3.5 percent higher in May than it was a year earlier. Capacity utilization for the industrial sector decreased 0.2 percentage point in May to 77.9 percent, a rate that is 1.9 percentage points below its long-run (1972–2017) average.
2018, June, 18, 13:45:00
SOUTH AFRICA: NO BENEFITS
IMF - South Africa’s potential is significant, yet growth over the past five years has not benefitted from the global recovery. The economy is globally positioned, sophisticated, and diversified, and several sectors—agribusiness, mining, manufacturing, and services—have capacity for expansion. Combined with strong institutions and a young workforce, opportunities are vast. However, several constraints have held growth back. Policy uncertainty and a regulatory environment not conducive to private investment have resulted in GDP growth rates that have not kept up with those of population growth, reducing income per capita, and hurting disproportionately the poor.
2018, June, 18, 13:40:00
U.S. RIGS DOWN 3 TO 1,059
BAKER HUGHES A GE - U.S. Rig Count is down 3 rigs from last week to 1,059, with oil rigs up 1 to 863, gas rigs down 4 to 194 and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 2. Canada Rig Count is up 27 rigs from last week to 139, with oil rigs up 18 to 87 and gas rigs up 9 to 52.
2018, June, 15, 11:35:00
OIL PRICE: NEAR $76
REUTERS - Brent crude LCOc1 had edged up 3 cents to $75.97 a barrel by 0658 GMT, after settling down 80 cents the session before. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude CLc1 was up 5 cents at $66.94 a barrel, having settled the last session up 25 cents. It touched a two-week high of $67.16 on Thursday.
2018, June, 15, 11:10:00
BP: GROWTH IN ENERGY DEMAND UP
BP - In 2017 global energy demand grew by 2.2%, above its 10-year average of 1.7%. This above-trend growth was driven by stronger economic growth in the developed world and a slight slowing in the pace of improvement in energy intensity.
2018, June, 15, 11:05:00
INDIA - IRAN OIL IMPORTS
REUTERS - India’s oil imports from Iran surged to about 705,000 barrels per day (bpd) in May, their highest level since October 2016, according to data from shipping and industry sources, despite the threats of fresh U.S. sanctions.
2018, June, 15, 10:40:00
AUSTRALIA'S LNG INFRASTRUCTURE
REUTERS - The issue comes down to how quickly to build a shared infrastructure system that would include a major trunk pipeline for transporting gas from mammoth new offshore fields owned by various companies in northwest Australia.
2018, June, 15, 10:35:00
CHEVRON STARTED IN AUSTRALIA
REUTERS - Chevron Corp has started producing liquefied natural gas (LNG) at the second unit of its $34 billion Wheatstone development, marking the completion of its two megaprojects in Australia after cost-blowouts and delays.
2018, June, 15, 10:30:00
U.S. FEDERAL FUNDS RATE 2%
FRB - In view of realized and expected labor market conditions and inflation, the Committee decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate to 1-3/4 to 2 percent. The stance of monetary policy remains accommodative, thereby supporting strong labor market conditions and a sustained return to 2 percent inflation.
2018, June, 13, 13:40:00
OIL PRICE: ABOVE $75 ANEW
REUTERS - Brent crude LCOc1 was down 30 cents at $75.58 a barrel by 1000 GMT. U.S. light crude CLc1 was 15 cents lower at $66.21.
2018, June, 13, 13:10:00
OIL PRICES: 2018 - $71, 2019 - $68
EIA - Brent crude oil spot prices averaged $77 per barrel (b) in May, an increase of $5/b from the April level and the highest monthly average price since November 2014. EIA forecasts Brent spot prices will average $71/b in 2018 and $68/b in 2019. The 2019 forecast price is $2/b higher than in the May STEO. EIA expects West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices will average almost $7/b lower than Brent prices in 2018 and $6/b lower than Brent prices in 2019
2018, June, 13, 12:55:00
GLOBAL LNG TRADE UP
EIA - Global trade in liquefied natural gas (LNG) reached 38.2 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) in 2017, a 10% (3.5 Bcf/d) increase from 2016 and the largest annual volume increase on record,
2018, June, 13, 12:45:00
U.S. RIGS UP 2 TO 1,062
BAKER HUGHES A GE - U.S. Rig Count is up 2 rigs from last week to 1,062, with oil rigs up 1 to 862, gas rigs up 1 to 198 and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 2. Canada Rig Count is up 13 rigs from last week to 112, with oil rigs up 13 to 69 and gas rigs unchanged at 43.
2018, June, 8, 13:35:00
OIL PRICE: NEARLY $77
REUTERS - Brent crude futures LCOc1, the international benchmark for oil prices, were at $76.79 per barrel at 0654 GMT, down 53 cents, or 0.7 percent, from their last close. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures CLc1 were down 38 cents, or 0.6 percent, at $65.57 a barrel.