Согласно прогнозам ОПЕК+, спрос на нефть в 2024 году вырастет на 2,2 млн баррелей в сутки (б/с), до 102 млн б/с. «В перспективе до 2030 года, а это всего 6 лет, сегодняшние 102 млн б/с могут превратиться в 110 млн б/с или даже 115 млн б/с», – отметил Александр Новак.

The global oil demand growth forecast for 2024 remains broadly unchanged from last month’s assessment at 2.2 mb/d.

The global oil demand growth forecast for 2024 remains unchanged from last month’s assessment at 2.2 mb/d.

In 2023, the International Energy Agency (IEA) asserted that it saw a global oil demand peak before the end of this decade and called for a halt to new oil investments. This was despite the IEA only a few years earlier highlighting that the world would still need oil for years to come and stressing the importance of investing in the sector.

The global oil demand growth forecast for 2024 remains unchanged at 2.2 mb/d, with the OECD growing by around 0.3 mb/d and the non-OECD by about 2.0 mb/d. The global oil demand growth in 2025 is expected to see a robust growth of 1.8 mb/d, y-o-y. The OECD is expected to grow by 0.1 mb/d, y-o-y, while demand in the non-OECD is forecast to increase by 1.7 mb/d.

In November, days ahead of the UN Climate Change Conference in Dubai, India's power minister RK Singh said the country would need to add 80 GW of new thermal capacity by 2031-2032 to meet demand.

The daily minimum temperature in some areas of northwest China, Inner Mongolia, north China, northeast China, central and eastern Huanghuai and eastern Jianghuai regions would be more than 7 degrees Celsius lower than the historical low for this period, the CMO said.

The world oil demand growth forecast for 2023 is revised up marginally from the previous month’s assessment to 2.5 mb/d.

Global oil demand is now projected to rise by 2.4 million b/d in 2023 to 102 million b/d, but growth will decelerate to 930,000 b/d in 2024,

Asian demand has also led to Saudi Aramco's optimism about the global oil market's prospects for the rest of the year, its CEO Amin H. Nasser said at the conference, adding that oil market fundamentals remain "generally sound".